Skip to content

Double whammy!

22 May 2012

Aguachile writes:

* According to pollster María de las Heras, Peña Nieto pulls 39 against 31 of AMLO

* According to pollster Covarrubias y Asociados, Peña Nieto pulls 36 to AMLO’s 27.

This is truly stunning. With one month left of the race, the outcome is increasingly open.

Covarrubias polls for a pro-AMLO on-line publication, SPDNoticias, but is also the pollster for the conservative Madrid daily, El País, which suggests a balanced approach.  María de las Heras USED to be Milenio‘s pollster, but either quit or was fired (depending on who you believe) over (again who do you believe?) pressure to manipulate polling results or using unorthodox sampling methods.

What I find TRULY STUNNING is not that these polls show AMLO much closer to EPN than the polls quoted by the foreign press and the major dailies here,but that these polls are being reported by the two major financial papers… more evidence that the establishment is not nearly as frightened of the candidate of the left as his rivals’ political machinery would like to think.

And,  I told ya’ so..you can’t predict the outcome of Mexican elections months in advance, and I said AMLO was likely to do much better than was being predicted.  He might even win.

No comments yet

Leave a reply, but please stick to the topic