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Consular affairs

15 March 2010

The murder in Juarez of three persons, somehow connected with the United States consulate there (only one appears to have been a consular EMPLOYEE, the others being her husband and the third victim a Mexican national married to a consular employee) may or may not represent an escalation of violence directed against the United States government. Although it’s being spun that way (and U.S. news headlines are saying all the victims were consular OFFICIALS), it’s much too early to make even a semi-educated guess as to the rationale — if there is one — or draw any conclusions.

I’m not drawing conclusions, but would note that the spouse of the consular official that was killed was an employee at the El Paso County Jail and that all three had been at the same party earlier in the day.  My “stab in the dark” guess (Malcolm Beith is betting it involves the D.E.A.) is that this involves gun-runers or narcotics buyers or money launderers from the United States… and that this is “spillover violence” from the United States.  One way or another.

Without getting into “tin-foil hat” territory, I find it interesting… not necessarily related, but interesting nonetheless… that the attack took place one day after U.S. Ambassador to Mexico Carlos Pascual was demanding that the Mexican government legitimize the use of military troops on the streets of Juarez and elsewhere.

As Esther at Xico noticed, but almost no one else, Pascual’s background in diplomatic affairs is in Afganistan and his track record is one of imposing U.S. control over so-called “failed states.”  It worries me that Pascual is a supporter — as is the U.S. State department — of both the Merida Initiative AND of the Calderón Administration.   Overt U.S. pressure to follow a path which may not be in Mexico’s best interest (see previous post) but certainly is in the interests of the U.S. suppliers who profit from Merida while giving legitimacy to the Calderón Administration, smacks of pro-consular interference and treating Mexico like Colombia or a “banana republic”.

I expect the shooting will be used to ratchet up the pressure the Mexican senate in buying off on making the “state of exception” the rule — and, oh, just by coincidence, meaning a ready market for U.S. suppliers of military hardware, supplies and training.

2 Comments leave one →
  1. 15 March 2010 10:08 am

    I’m glad you wrote about this. I was hoping to, but for many days, my blog hasn’t been working. (Today I discovered that it seems to be related to Chrome.)
    I’m terribly disappointed in Pascual. I had hoped the thinking that led him to oppose the Iraq war would lead him away from a militaristic stance towards Mexico, but it obviously hasn’t — unless he’s just serving a mouthpiece for the Administration which is no better, really. Obama’s Mexico (and Latin American) policy is as far as I can tell based on a malignant ignorance. Perhaps privately members of the administration think differently but are feeling the need for some obscure reason to cater to the right, but whatever reason they have, it isn’t a good one! Is there any well- informed person who has access to an ear in the administration? Sure doesn’t seem like it.

  2. Francisco permalink
    15 March 2010 5:25 pm

    Mexico is quickly approaching a banana republic, it won’t be long before a full civil war between the drug cartels and the army is the only option.

    The drug cartels show no signs of losing any control and power they now have.

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