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Travel advisory

21 November 2010

Safer here than there, it seems…

This chart — picked up by Colombia Reports from Maplecroft (a European “Risk Assessment” service, something like Texas-based Strafor, though without George Friedman sending you paranoid emails a couple of times a week) — shows only one country really at “extreme risk” of terrorism in the Americas.  It ain’t Mexico, which shows minimal risk… although it borders two countries (the United States and Guatemala) with at least a “medium risk” of terrorist activity.

Apropos of my post just below this, I’d add that when gangsters do something spectacular like blow up someone in a car, or chop off a head, not very bright people (including, it seems, the United States Secretary of State) resort to sloppy logic.  “Terrorists” (whatever they are, exactly) sometimes use car bombs or chop off heads.  So do governments, and spies, and angry ex-spouses and gangsters.  Since it was gangster doing those things in Mexico, ergo, it follows the gangsters are terrorists.

4 Comments leave one →
  1. 22 November 2010 6:54 am

    Is this only risk for terrorism? How about risk for being a victim of plain old crime? And is this risk of terrorist attacks or of terrorists in the country? Etc.

  2. Francisco permalink
    22 November 2010 8:26 am

    Here is another example of lies and scare tactics by the American press. Do americans really beleive narcos can take over a whole town? I’m sure the city of Mier is a mystical place where tourists should vist and enjoy lovely mexico.


    Photos from Ciudad Mier show homes, downtown structures and other buildings whose façades have been pockmarked as if by a bad case of acne. Even the town’s centerpiece, a sandstone church whose construction dates to 1784, has been scarred by the gunfire. Other photos show bodies or severed limbs in the streets. In one, the bloody torso of a man hangs from a tree in the city square, his arms and legs cut off.

    The town’s police station and three vehicles were reportedly burned during an Oct. 15 attack, leaving only charred remains behind.

    Widespread kidnappings, auto thefts and assaults have been reported along Mexico Highway 2, which runs along the border with the U.S., and Mexico Highway 54, which leads to Monterrey.

  3. bennie permalink
    22 November 2010 12:36 pm

    Talk about weird logic. Esther nailed it. Try using overall crime stats and not one that you can’t even define (terrorism).

  4. 22 November 2010 6:09 pm

    That, in some ways, in the point, Bennie. Whatever “terrorism” is, it’s nothing that really affects Mexico. Gangsters are not politically motivated (beyond wanting a state that doesn’t interfere with their business… in that being no different than any other trade group). You’d probably have to plow through Maplecroft’s data (which they probably charge for) to find their parameters for coming up with the data they did, but the countries shown as “high risk” are all those with serious political and social struggles.

    Not that there aren’t pockets of EXTREME violence in Mexico (although, the Cd. Mier “invasion” was a matter of a few hours) probably made worse by economic conditions beyond the control of the local populace (in many ways, what is going on in the border towns is similar to what happened in the U.S. “rust belt” in the 1970s — loss of manufacturing base, people moving away and rampant rises in criminality, which then drive others away).

    The point… if there is one (besides the fact that this chart exists) … is merely that what is defined as “terrorism” in the U.S. press is not seen as such by all outside observers.

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