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By a nose???

10 March 2014

What are the chances that the right — at the last minute — has pulled out a victory in El Salvador…. sort of like what happened in Mexico in 2006 (where at least there were more than two parities on the ballot that could siphon off some votes from the left)?

As of right now, there’s only a 0.2 percent difference between the expected winner and front runner, FLMN’s Salvador Sánchez Cerén and ARENA’s Norman Quijano. Media sources are claiming sitting vice president Sánchez Cerén has won while Quijano, last I heard was claiming foul. And calling for military intervention… or a coup. This sounds less like the Mexican option (a crooked election that would keep the left from gaining the presidency) and more like Venezuela’s 2013 special presidential election, in which a right wing candidate came relatively close to unseating a left-wing administration (although in Venezuela, the difference was much greater, 1.5 percent) and the right used it’s “close but no cigar” to call for violence. At least in Mexico, the protests were non-violent (and, ultimately unproductive… which makes one question the whole non-violent change bit. Unfortunately.

(Inca Kola, Reuters, Central American Politics)

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2 Comments leave one →
  1. Allen G permalink
    16 March 2014 10:17 am

    Intersting thoughts about crooked elections, always involing the ¨right” or conservative factions.
    Is Pene Nieto on the right ?
    Or Fidel Castro, or the Marxists, or the Chinese government or North Korea, or communist Russia ???

  2. 16 March 2014 1:40 pm

    Of course, “right”, “left”, and “center” are relative terms and depend on where you’re standing. The U.S: Democratic Party would be the “right” in most countries, but is considered “left” of the other U.S. Party. The PRI here considers itself the “institutional” party, though it is much closer to PAN — which is held out as the conservative (right) — on economic issues and on most social issues. But, as the “status quo” party, it is often considered “centerist”: as a shorthand way of distinguishing it from PAN and PRD. The left (PRD and allies) often refer to PRIAN… lumping PRI and PAN (both supporting neo-liberal economic policies) as the “right”. Claiming there is a left or right in one-party states a guessing game. China is an interesting one. It claims to be a Marxist (and presumably leftist) state, but its economic policy is about as neo-liberal (right-wing) as can be. I’d call it China neo-fascist, but that’s just me.

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